Miroslav Brož vs Pedro Carvalho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-1Record15-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
73.6"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight165 lbs
Renegade Prague GymTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Miroslav BrožPedro Carvalho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Miroslav Brož51%
Pedro Carvalho 49%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Miroslav Brož a 51% favorite over Pedro Carvalho in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pedro Carvalho's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1609), separated by just 6 points.
Miroslav Brož enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pedro Carvalho enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Miroslav Brož finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Carvalho 60%.
Miroslav Brož carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.