Combat Edge Intelligence

Modestas Bukauskas vs Rasul Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-7-0Record10-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gintas CombatTeamKHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Modestas BukauskasNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
Rasul MagomedovNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
0.23
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
82%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.11
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Modestas BukauskasRasul Magomedov
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (14%)
Submission
2 (20%)
6 (29%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Modestas Bukauskas69%
Rasul Magomedov 31%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 69% favorite over Rasul Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1717), separated by just 4 points.

Modestas Bukauskas enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rasul Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Modestas Bukauskas finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rasul Magomedov 60%.

Modestas Bukauskas carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.