Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohammad Fahmi vs Pedro Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Special Fight ClubTeamCerrado MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mohammad FahmiNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
Pedro SouzaNow 1585
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mohammad FahmiPedro Souza
1450150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
4 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
4 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

Pedro Souza72%
Mohammad Fahmi 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Souza a 72% favorite over Mohammad Fahmi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mohammad Fahmi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1585), separated by just 2 points.

Pedro Souza enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Mohammad Fahmi finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Souza 20%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.