Combat Edge Intelligence

Mohammad Yahya vs Nic Ouellet

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"HeightTBD
73"Reach-
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
TK MMA & FitnessTeamPowell River BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mohammad YahyaNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Nic OuelletNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
43%
Strike defense
TBD
0.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.50
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mohammad YahyaNic Ouellet
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (17%)
Submission
5 (71%)
3 (25%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Nic Ouellet59%
Mohammad Yahya 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nic Ouellet a 59% favorite over Mohammad Yahya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1568), separated by just 1 points.

Mohammad Yahya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Nic Ouellet enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mohammad Yahya finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nic Ouellet 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.