Moktar Benkaci vs Saimon Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-11-0Record18-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Thai Boxing IstresTeamAstra Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Moktar BenkaciSaimon Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Moktar Benkaci63%
Saimon Oliveira 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Moktar Benkaci a 63% favorite over Saimon Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1595), separated by just 0 points.
Moktar Benkaci enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Saimon Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Moktar Benkaci finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Saimon Oliveira 89%.
Saimon Oliveira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.