Moustapha Diakhaté vs Raffael Cerqueira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-1Record11-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
-Reach76"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
Valon TeamTeamCTJ Judo & Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1646
If they lose-23→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Moustapha DiakhatéRaffael Cerqueira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Moustapha Diakhaté52%
Raffael Cerqueira 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Moustapha Diakhaté a 52% favorite over Raffael Cerqueira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raffael Cerqueira's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1629), separated by just 8 points.
Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Moustapha Diakhaté finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Raffael Cerqueira 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.