Combat Edge Intelligence

Movsar Ibragimov vs Yrysbek Tilenov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach68"
140 lbsWeight134 lbs
La CageTeamIhlas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Movsar IbragimovNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Yrysbek TilenovNow 1662
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-24→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Movsar IbragimovYrysbek Tilenov
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
4 (50%)
Submission
1 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Movsar Ibragimov58%
Yrysbek Tilenov 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Ibragimov a 58% favorite over Yrysbek Tilenov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yrysbek Tilenov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Yrysbek Tilenov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Movsar Ibragimov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yrysbek Tilenov 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.