Combat Edge Intelligence

Muhammad Said vs Rodolfo Bellato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record13-3-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMATeamKnockout Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Muhammad SaidNow 1681
If they win+24→ 1705
If they lose-24→ 1657
Rodolfo BellatoNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
60%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.38
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
TBD
Takedown defense
94%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Muhammad SaidRodolfo Bellato
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
2 (22%)
Submission
4 (31%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Muhammad Said and Rodolfo Bellato within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1678), separated by just 3 points.

Muhammad Said enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Muhammad Said finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Bellato 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.