Combat Edge Intelligence

Naoki Tanaka vs Sina Maani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record3-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"HeightTBD
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fighter's FlowTeamLion's MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Naoki TanakaNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
Sina MaaniNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1485 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Naoki TanakaSina Maani
14501500155020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
1 (25%)
Submission
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sina Maani53%
Naoki Tanaka 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sina Maani a 53% favorite over Naoki Tanaka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Naoki Tanaka's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1551), separated by just 3 points.

Naoki Tanaka enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Sina Maani enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Naoki Tanaka finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sina Maani 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.