Nathan Coy vs Zak Cummings
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record25-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
39,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Zak Cummings is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nathan Coy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1627
If they win+9→ 1748
If they lose-15→ 1724
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nathan CoyZak Cummings
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zak Cummings79%
Nathan Coy 21%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Zak Cummings a 79% favorite over Nathan Coy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Zak Cummings holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1639, a 100-point edge.
Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nathan Coy finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.