Combat Edge Intelligence

Neiman Gracie vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
73.5"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Kings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamWCA Fight Team· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Neiman GracieNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Tymoteusz ŁopaczykNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Neiman GracieTymoteusz Łopaczyk
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
9 (69%)
Submission
4 (29%)
3 (23%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Neiman Gracie61%
Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Neiman Gracie a 61% favorite over Tymoteusz Łopaczyk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1645), separated by just 0 points.

Neiman Gracie finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.