Combat Edge Intelligence

Neiman Gracie vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
73.5"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Kings MMATeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Neiman GracieNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Tymoteusz ŁopaczykNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Neiman GracieTymoteusz Łopaczyk
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
9 (69%)
Submission
4 (29%)
3 (23%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Tymoteusz Łopaczyk71%
Neiman Gracie 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tymoteusz Łopaczyk a 71% favorite over Neiman Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.

Neiman Gracie finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.