Nick Aguirre vs Ryo Hirayama
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record4-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
74,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Valle Flow Striking· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamX-Treme Ebina
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nick AguirreRyo Hirayama
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Hirayama61%
Nick Aguirre 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Hirayama a 61% favorite over Nick Aguirre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Aguirre's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1573), separated by just 0 points.
Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nick Aguirre finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Hirayama 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.