Combat Edge Intelligence

Nicolle Caliari vs Tina Lahdemaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record5-1-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
62"Reach62,0"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Thai Brasil· 1661 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRNC Sport Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nicolle CaliariNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Tina LahdemakiNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.46
Sig. strikes / min
1.93
38%
Strike accuracy
21%
7.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.67
54%
Strike defense
57%
2.88
Takedown avg.
0
24%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
17%
0.96
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nicolle CaliariTina Lahdemaki
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
4 (44%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolle Caliari60%
Tina Lahdemaki 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolle Caliari a 60% favorite over Tina Lahdemaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.

Nicolle Caliari finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tina Lahdemaki 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.