Combat Edge Intelligence

Nik Bagley vs Ylies Djiroun

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nik Bagley
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Nik Bagley

“The Perfectionist”

10-1-0FeatherweightCWFC

1694Good

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record25-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach71"
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamMarseille Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nik BagleyNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Ylies DjirounNow 1694
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nik BagleyYlies Djiroun
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (16%)
7 (70%)
Submission
12 (48%)
2 (20%)
Decision
9 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Nik Bagley59%
Ylies Djiroun 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nik Bagley a 59% favorite over Ylies Djiroun in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1694), separated by just 0 points.

Nik Bagley enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Ylies Djiroun enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nik Bagley finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ylies Djiroun 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.