Combat Edge Intelligence

Nikolas Motta vs Shunta Nomura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nikolas MottaNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Shunta NomuraNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.64
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
37%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
82%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Nikolas MottaShunta Nomura
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (33%)
Decision
6 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Nikolas Motta57%
Shunta Nomura 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nikolas Motta a 57% favorite over Shunta Nomura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1642), separated by just 1 points.

Nikolas Motta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shunta Nomura 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.