Noah Gasho vs Oscar Ownsworth
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record10-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
-Reach-
149 lbsWeight150 lbs
The Academy MN· 1573 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamManchester Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Noah GashoOscar Ownsworth
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oscar Ownsworth55%
Noah Gasho 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Oscar Ownsworth a 55% favorite over Noah Gasho in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Noah Gasho's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1598), separated by just 0 points.
Noah Gasho enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Oscar Ownsworth enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Noah Gasho finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Oscar Ownsworth 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.