Combat Edge Intelligence

Nurbek Abdykadyrov vs Shaheen Santana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight148 lbs
Jash-KuchTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nurbek AbdykadyrovNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Shaheen SantanaNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.82
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.65
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.75

Trajectory

Nurbek AbdykadyrovShaheen Santana
1550202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Submission
6 (75%)
3 (43%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurbek Abdykadyrov62%
Shaheen Santana 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurbek Abdykadyrov a 62% favorite over Shaheen Santana in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shaheen Santana's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1557), separated by just 1 points.

Nurbek Abdykadyrov finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Shaheen Santana 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.