Combat Edge Intelligence

Pat Sabatini vs Yair Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-5-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Renzo Gracie PhillyTeamValle Flow Striking

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pat SabatiniNow 1762
If they win+12→ 1774
If they lose-12→ 1750
Yair RodriguezNow 1751
If they win+17→ 1768
If they lose-15→ 1736

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.69
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
60%
Strike accuracy
46%
1.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.99
51%
Strike defense
52%
4.48
Takedown avg.
0.69
51%
Takedown accuracy
27%
50%
Takedown defense
58%
1.49
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Pat SabatiniYair Rodriguez
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (9%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
12 (55%)
Submission
5 (25%)
8 (36%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Pat Sabatini67%
Yair Rodriguez 33%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Pat Sabatini a 67% favorite over Yair Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1762 vs 1751), separated by just 11 points.

Pat Sabatini enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Pat Sabatini finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.