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Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Ocheme vs Rasul Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record17-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"Reach-
157 lbsWeight171 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrick OchemeNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Rasul MagomedovNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Patrick OchemeRasul Magomedov
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
4 (24%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (12%)
3 (38%)
Decision
11 (65%)

Combat Edge model read

Rasul Magomedov54%
Patrick Ocheme 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rasul Magomedov a 54% favorite over Patrick Ocheme in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrick Ocheme's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Patrick Ocheme enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Patrick Ocheme finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Rasul Magomedov 35%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.