Combat Edge Intelligence

Pavel Vitruk vs Willie van Rooyen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-10-1Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamA-Team Stars

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pavel VitrukNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
Willie van RooyenNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Pavel VitrukWillie van Rooyen
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (13%)
13 (68%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Willie van Rooyen62%
Pavel Vitruk 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Willie van Rooyen a 62% favorite over Pavel Vitruk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pavel Vitruk's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.

Pavel Vitruk enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Pavel Vitruk finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Willie van Rooyen 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.