Pedro Carvalho vs Wilson Lopshire
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
165 lbsWeight156 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamGarra Brazilian Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Pedro CarvalhoWilson Lopshire
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Carvalho64%
Wilson Lopshire 36%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Carvalho a 64% favorite over Wilson Lopshire in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wilson Lopshire's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1627), separated by just 6 points.
Pedro Carvalho enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pedro Carvalho finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Lopshire 100%.
Wilson Lopshire carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.