Combat Edge Intelligence

Phillipe Nover vs Richie Smullen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-8-1Record15-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72,0"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Phillipe NoverNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Richie SmullenNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
36%
Strike accuracy
78%
2.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
56%
Strike defense
65%
0.99
Takedown avg.
8.49
29%
Takedown accuracy
67%
45%
Takedown defense
0%
0.66
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Phillipe NoverRichie Smullen
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
5 (45%)
Submission
6 (40%)
5 (45%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Phillipe Nover54%
Richie Smullen 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Phillipe Nover a 54% favorite over Richie Smullen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1647), separated by just 0 points.

Phillipe Nover enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Richie Smullen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Phillipe Nover finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Richie Smullen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.