Combat Edge Intelligence

Phillipe Nover vs Yutaka Saito

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-8-1Record22-9-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamParaestra Koiwa

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Phillipe NoverNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Yutaka SaitoNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
36%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
0.99
Takedown avg.
Not available
29%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
45%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.66
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Phillipe NoverYutaka Saito
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
5 (23%)
5 (45%)
Submission
2 (9%)
5 (45%)
Decision
15 (68%)

Combat Edge model read

Yutaka Saito63%
Phillipe Nover 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yutaka Saito a 63% favorite over Phillipe Nover in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phillipe Nover's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1647), separated by just 0 points.

Phillipe Nover enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Phillipe Nover finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Yutaka Saito 32%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.