Raffael Cerqueira vs Roland Dunlap
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record7-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
CTJ Judo & Jiu-JitsuTeamRoufusport
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Raffael CerqueiraRoland Dunlap
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roland Dunlap60%
Raffael Cerqueira 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Roland Dunlap a 60% favorite over Raffael Cerqueira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raffael Cerqueira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.
Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Roland Dunlap enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Raffael Cerqueira finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Roland Dunlap 57%.
Roland Dunlap carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.