Combat Edge Intelligence

Regan Upshaw vs Thaddeus Luster

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Regan Upshaw
us

Regan Upshaw

“The Eternal”

0-1-0Light HeavyweightONE

1478Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight200 lbs
Havoc MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Regan UpshawNow 1478
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453
Thaddeus LusterNow 1470
If they win+25→ 1495
If they lose-23→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Combat Edge model read

Regan Upshaw66%
Thaddeus Luster 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 66% favorite over Thaddeus Luster in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1470), separated by just 8 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.