Combat Edge Intelligence

Rei Tsuruya vs Sergio Pettis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record25-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach69"
126 lbsWeight134 lbs
The Blackbelt Japan· 1675 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRoufusport· 1684 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rei TsuruyaNow 1752
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736
Sergio PettisNow 1752
If they win+12→ 1764
If they lose-12→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
54%
Strike accuracy
37%
1.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
43%
Strike defense
65%
5.03
Takedown avg.
0.85
6%
Takedown accuracy
37%
50%
Takedown defense
68%
2.01
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Rei TsuruyaSergio Pettis
1750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
6 (50%)
Submission
4 (16%)
2 (17%)
Decision
16 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergio Pettis57%
Rei Tsuruya 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Pettis a 57% favorite over Rei Tsuruya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rei Tsuruya's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1752 vs 1752), separated by just 0 points.

Rei Tsuruya enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rei Tsuruya finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Pettis 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.