Combat Edge Intelligence

Rene Pessoa vs Tafon Nchukwi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rene Pessoa
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Rene Pessoa

“Soldado”

26-13-0MiddleweightACA

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-Reach77"
186 lbsWeight190 lbs
Power Lotus TeamTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rene PessoaNow 1590
If they win+12→ 1602
If they lose-12→ 1578
Tafon NchukwiNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rene PessoaTafon Nchukwi
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
19 (73%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (8%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Rene Pessoa62%
Tafon Nchukwi 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rene Pessoa a 62% favorite over Tafon Nchukwi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.

Rene Pessoa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rene Pessoa finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.