Combat Edge Intelligence

Richie Miranda vs Thiago Moisés

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-1-0Record19-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
74"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CSW Training CenterTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Richie MirandaNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
Thiago MoisésNow 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.31
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Richie MirandaThiago Moisés
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
3 (23%)
Submission
8 (42%)
5 (38%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Richie Miranda81%
Thiago Moisés 19%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Richie Miranda a 81% favorite over Thiago Moisés in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1685), separated by just 1 points.

Thiago Moisés enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Richie Miranda finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Moisés 63%.

Richie Miranda carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.