Robert Lau vs Sergey Starodub
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record7-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
-Reach-
190 lbsWeight206 lbs
Integra WittlichTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Robert LauSergey Starodub
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergey Starodub56%
Robert Lau 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Starodub a 56% favorite over Robert Lau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Robert Lau's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1632), separated by just 1 points.
Robert Lau enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Sergey Starodub enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Robert Lau finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Starodub 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.