Rodrigo Vargas vs Rustam Asuev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach-
160 lbsWeight149 lbs
Mexican Pride GymTeamFight Club Berkut· 1663 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rodrigo VargasRustam Asuev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Asuev54%
Rodrigo Vargas 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Asuev a 54% favorite over Rodrigo Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Vargas's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.
Rodrigo Vargas enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rodrigo Vargas finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Asuev 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.