Combat Edge Intelligence

Roggers Souza vs Scott Morris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record2-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight210 lbs
Alcateia MMA· 1554 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roggers SouzaNow 1529
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-16→ 1513
Scott MorrisNow 1526
If they win+24→ 1550
If they lose-24→ 1502

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Roggers SouzaScott Morris
15001550160019951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (27%)
Submission
2 (100%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Roggers Souza58%
Scott Morris 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roggers Souza a 58% favorite over Scott Morris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1526), separated by just 3 points.

Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roggers Souza finishes 93% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.