Combat Edge Intelligence

Roland Dunlap vs Sam Hoger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Roland Dunlap
us

Roland Dunlap

“The Dream”

7-0-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1628Solid
Sam Hoger
us

Sam Hoger

“Alaskan Assassin”

10-4-0Light HeavyweightHoger MMA

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record10-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
RoufusportTeamMiletich Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roland DunlapNow 1628
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604
Sam HogerNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.25
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.12
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
29%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.34

Trajectory

Roland DunlapSam Hoger
1600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (60%)
3 (43%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Roland Dunlap70%
Sam Hoger 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roland Dunlap a 70% favorite over Sam Hoger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Roland Dunlap enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Sam Hoger enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Roland Dunlap finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hoger 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.