Combat Edge Intelligence

Ronaldo Oliveira vs Tomáš Deák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-1Record25-15-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"Height5'4"
-Reach65.7"
136 lbsWeight137 lbs
Carrasco TeamTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ronaldo OliveiraNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
Tomáš DeákNow 1565
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ronaldo OliveiraTomáš Deák
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
8 (73%)
Submission
11 (44%)
1 (9%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomáš Deák52%
Ronaldo Oliveira 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 52% favorite over Ronaldo Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ronaldo Oliveira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1565), separated by just 0 points.

Ronaldo Oliveira finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.