Roque Conceicao vs Wilson Reis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"Height5'4"
-Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+12→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Roque ConceicaoWilson Reis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roque Conceicao53%
Wilson Reis 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Roque Conceicao a 53% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wilson Reis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1653), separated by just 2 points.
Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Roque Conceicao finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.