Combat Edge Intelligence

Ruslan Nazhmudinov vs Sergio Cossio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record19-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'7"
-Reach71"
205 lbsWeight166 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1618 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamInv1ktus Durango

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ruslan NazhmudinovNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Sergio CossioNow 1600
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Ruslan NazhmudinovSergio Cossio
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
6 (32%)
1 (11%)
Submission
9 (47%)
4 (44%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergio Cossio59%
Ruslan Nazhmudinov 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Cossio a 59% favorite over Ruslan Nazhmudinov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ruslan Nazhmudinov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1600), separated by just 0 points.

Sergio Cossio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ruslan Nazhmudinov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Cossio 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.