Ryan Garcia vs Taylor Michels
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-2-0Record1-1-0
welterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"Reach70"
147 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamAcademy of Combat Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
TBDPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taylor Michels60%
Ryan Garcia 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Michels a 60% favorite over Ryan Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Garcia's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1498), separated by just 2 points.
Ryan Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.