Combat Edge Intelligence

Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Taylor Lapilus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-1-0Record25-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
55 Spirit DushanbeTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sarvarjon KhamidovNow 1751
If they win+16→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1735
Taylor LapilusNow 1755
If they win+16→ 1771
If they lose-16→ 1739

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
Not available
Strike defense
63%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.27
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
77%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Sarvarjon KhamidovTaylor Lapilus
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
5 (29%)
Submission
6 (24%)
7 (41%)
Decision
14 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Lapilus60%
Sarvarjon Khamidov 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 60% favorite over Sarvarjon Khamidov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1751 vs 1755), separated by just 4 points.

Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Sarvarjon Khamidov finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.

Taylor Lapilus carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.