Combat Edge Intelligence

Sascha Weinpolter vs Steve Nelmark

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-6-1Record2-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
240 lbsWeight250 lbs
Iron Fist GymTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484
Steve NelmarkNow 1501
If they win+25→ 1526
If they lose-23→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Sascha WeinpolterSteve Nelmark
15001550199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (93%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (50%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter72%
Steve Nelmark 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 72% favorite over Steve Nelmark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1501), separated by just 8 points.

Sascha Weinpolter finishes 93% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.