Sascha Weinpolter vs Tai Bowden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-1Record1-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
240 lbsWeight230 lbs
Iron Fist GymTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484
If they win+25→ 1521
If they lose-23→ 1473
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sascha WeinpolterTai Bowden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter75%
Tai Bowden 25%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 75% favorite over Tai Bowden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1496), separated by just 13 points.
Sascha Weinpolter finishes 93% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.