Combat Edge Intelligence

Shamidkhan Magomedov vs Tommy Morrisson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record12-0-0
WelterweightDivisionBantamweight
6'0"Height5'7"
71.5"Reach67.1"
170 lbsWeight135 lbs
K Dojo Warrior Tribe TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Tommy Morrisson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Shamidkhan Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Shamidkhan MagomedovNow 1680
If they win+17→ 1697
If they lose-15→ 1665
Tommy MorrissonNow 1698
If they win+15→ 1713
If they lose-17→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Shamidkhan MagomedovTommy Morrisson
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
4 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (10%)
Decision
9 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamidkhan Magomedov56%
Tommy Morrisson 44%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamidkhan Magomedov a 56% favorite over Tommy Morrisson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tommy Morrisson's way (47%).

Tommy Morrisson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1680, a 18-point edge.

Tommy Morrisson enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Shamidkhan Magomedov finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Morrisson 25%.

Shamidkhan Magomedov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.