Combat Edge Intelligence

Shane Mullen vs Teruto Ishihara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record14-14-3
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Academy Ireland· 1585 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shane MullenNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Teruto IshiharaNow 1507
If they win+12→ 1519
If they lose-12→ 1495

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.50
Not available
Takedown accuracy
17%
Not available
Takedown defense
31%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shane MullenTeruto Ishihara
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
11 (79%)
1 (100%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Teruto Ishihara57%
Shane Mullen 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Teruto Ishihara a 57% favorite over Shane Mullen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1507), separated by just 7 points.

Teruto Ishihara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Teruto Ishihara 86%.

Teruto Ishihara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.