Combat Edge Intelligence

Shane Mullen vs Teruto Ishihara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record14-14-3
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Academy IrelandTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shane MullenNow 1500
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477
Teruto IshiharaNow 1508
If they win+12→ 1520
If they lose-12→ 1496

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
31%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shane MullenTeruto Ishihara
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
11 (79%)
1 (100%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Mullen51%
Teruto Ishihara 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Mullen a 51% favorite over Teruto Ishihara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Teruto Ishihara's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1508), separated by just 8 points.

Teruto Ishihara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Teruto Ishihara 86%.

Teruto Ishihara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.