Shinobu Ota vs Tomáš Deák
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-6-0Record25-15-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'4"
64"Reach65.7"
134 lbsWeight137 lbs
The Blackbelt Japan· 1640 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1600 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Shinobu OtaTomáš Deák
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tomáš Deák52%
Shinobu Ota 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 52% favorite over Shinobu Ota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.
Shinobu Ota finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.
Tomáš Deák carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.