Combat Edge Intelligence

Su Young You vs Yuya Wakamatsu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record21-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
65"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bon Jiu JitsuTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1647 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Su Young YouNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Yuya WakamatsuNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.28
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
70%
Strike defense
Not available
3.80
Takedown avg.
Not available
48%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
67%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.40
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Su Young YouYuya Wakamatsu
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
15 (71%)
5 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (50%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Yuya Wakamatsu60%
Su Young You 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yuya Wakamatsu a 60% favorite over Su Young You in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Su Young You's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1691), separated by just 2 points.

Su Young You finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yuya Wakamatsu 71%.

Yuya Wakamatsu carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.