Tai Tuivasa vs Zach Nishimwe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record4-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
75"Reach-
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1583
If they win+23→ 1635
If they lose-25→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Tai TuivasaZach Nishimwe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Nishimwe51%
Tai Tuivasa 49%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Nishimwe a 51% favorite over Tai Tuivasa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1612), separated by just 14 points.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Zach Nishimwe enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Tai Tuivasa finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Zach Nishimwe 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.