Combat Edge Intelligence

Tai Tuivasa vs Zaurbek Sabanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tai Tuivasa
au

Tai Tuivasa

“Bam Bam”

14-11-0HeavyweightUFC

1598Solid

Tale of the tape

14-11-0Record4-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75"Reach-
265 lbsWeight258 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tai TuivasaNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Zaurbek SabanovNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.37
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
43%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
59%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Tai TuivasaZaurbek Sabanov
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

13 (93%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (7%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tai Tuivasa54%
Zaurbek Sabanov 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 54% favorite over Zaurbek Sabanov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zaurbek Sabanov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1600), separated by just 2 points.

Tai Tuivasa enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Zaurbek Sabanov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tai Tuivasa finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Zaurbek Sabanov 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.