Combat Edge Intelligence

Theo Haig vs Tim Boetsch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Boetsch
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Tim Boetsch

“The Barbarian”

21-13-0MiddleweightUFC

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record21-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77.5"Reach74,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1640 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Irish

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Theo HaigNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609
Tim BoetschNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
Not available
Strike accuracy
51%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
Not available
Strike defense
57%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.45
Not available
Takedown accuracy
34%
Not available
Takedown defense
59%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Theo HaigTim Boetsch
15501600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
13 (62%)
7 (100%)
Submission
3 (14%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Theo Haig51%
Tim Boetsch 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Theo Haig a 51% favorite over Tim Boetsch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1631), separated by just 2 points.

Tim Boetsch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Theo Haig finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tim Boetsch 76%.

Theo Haig carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.