Will Davis vs Yusaku Kinoshita
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-Reach71,5"
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Will DavisYusaku Kinoshita
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yusaku Kinoshita55%
Will Davis 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yusaku Kinoshita a 55% favorite over Will Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Will Davis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1522), separated by just 1 points.
Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Will Davis finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.