Pavel Gordeev vs Chris Wade
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record23-10-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71" Reach70,0"
157 lbsWeight149 lbs
Archangel Michael Club· 1764 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEast Islip Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Pavel GordeevChris Wade
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pavel Gordeev84%
Chris Wade 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pavel Gordeev a 84% favorite over Chris Wade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1691), separated by just 0 points.
Pavel Gordeev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chris Wade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pavel Gordeev finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Chris Wade 35%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.