Model win probabilities for every bout on Contender Series 2026: Week 3 (August 25, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Nick Galanti won
60%Carlos Petruzzella40%Nick Galanti
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 60% / 40%
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